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French far-right eyes big gains in regional polling

French President Francois Hollande leaving the polling booth to cast his ballot in Tulle.

Reuters
Paris/Henin-Beaumont

France voted in high-stakes regional elections yesterday, just three weeks after deadly Islamic State (IS) militant attacks in Paris that could bring strong gains for the far-right National Front.
Security was boosted at polling stations in the capital, where militants killed 130 people by shootings and suicide bombs on November 13, the worst attacks since World War II.
The National Front (FN) may lead in as many as six out of 13 regions after the first round yesterday.
Voter participation among the 44.6mn people eligible to take part stood at 43.01% at 5pm (1600 GMT), higher than the 39% five years ago.
“We’re just in the first round, but we hope to have as big a lead as possible so the momentum is the strongest possible,” FN leader Marine Le Pen told Reuters TV after voting in the party’s northern stronghold of Henin-Beaumont. “I trust the voters because they have seen us work  ... and that’s why they are moving towards us.”
Like other anti-immigration, anti-Europe parties across Europe, the FN is also likely to benefit from worries over the refugee crisis to win at least one region, and possibly more, in a conclusive run-off on December 13, opinion polls show.
Even winning one regional council would be a major victory for the FN which has never had control of such constituencies.
“After the November 13 attacks we saw a clear increase in support for the National Front,” Ifop pollster analyst Jerome Fourquet said. “Everything is adding up for (it) to make an unprecedented score.”
The vote may reshape the political landscape, making French politics a three-way race as it gears up for 2017 presidential elections after decades of domination by the Socialists and conservatives.
“Too many don’t come and vote and that lets extreme parties emerge, which I don’t like,” said 23-year-old Wandrille Launay, who was voting in Paris’ 10th district not far from where the November 13 attacks took place. “In the last few days on social media I just saw so many things that shocked me, especially from people my age.”
The Socialists, who are now in power and control most regions, are set to lose most councils to either former president Nicolas Sarkozy’s conservatives or the FN, despite a boost in President Francois Hollande’s popularity ratings from his handling of the attacks.
Sarkozy, who just a few weeks ago was hoping for a landslide victory that would boost his chances for 2017, faces a smaller victory than expected for his Republicans party because of the FN’s surging popularity, opinion polls show.
The key question as soon as polling stations closed and results start trickling in will be whether the Socialists, seen coming third behind the FN and the Republicans in regions which the far-right could win over on December13, will pull out of the race to try to keep them out of power.
The two regions where the FN is most likely to win are in the Nord-Pas-de-Calais region of northern France, where Marine Le Pen is a favourite, and the southeast, where her niece Marion Marechal-Le Pen is a leading contender.
Participation in that region was almost 9% higher than in 2010 at 5pm.
“This is a bad sign, because the National Front is becoming little by little more legitimate,” Alain Alpern, a former Green and Socialist party local councillor, told Reuters outside an Henin-Beaumont polling station. “People don’t realise what is in store for them.”
Long content with attracting protest votes, the FN has changed strategy since Marine Le Pen took the party over from her father Jean-Marie in 2011, seeking to build a base of locally elected officials to target the top levels of power.
Voter turnout yesterday and next Sunday will be key in regional polls that are usually spurned by about half the electorate both because of their complex two-round system and a lack of understanding of their role in France’s multi-layered administrative structure.
French regions rule over local transport and economic development as well as high schools and vocational training, with beefed-up powers after a reform that cut their numbers from 22 to 13.


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