Indian equities ended a four-day advance as investors awaited policy decisions from the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan.
Technology and consumer-goods companies countered advances in metal producers, while a gauge of developers fell the most among 10 industry indexes. Volume in a gauge of top 50 companies was 29% below a 30-day average.
Indian equities have climbed in seven of 12 sessions in September as investors weighed chances that two of the world’s most influential central banks will continue policies that have supported demand for riskier assets. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged, while strengthening guidance about its intentions to raise borrowing costs soon. Traders are divided over whether the BoJ will add to its stimulus in its review today.
“The undertone of the market is strong, save for the near-term concerns about the BoJ and Fed meetings,” Rajesh Agarwal, the head of research at AUM Capital Market Pvt, said by phone from Kolkata. “The market will rally if the central banks maintain the status quo.” He’s advising investors to buy shares of state-owned lenders..
The pace of bad-loan formation in India will slow over the next 12 to 18 months as the banking industry is moving past the worst point of its asset quality down cycle, Moody’s Investors Service said in a statement on Monday. The operating environment for lenders is supported by a stabilising economy, the rating company said. Gross domestic product grew 7.1% in the April-to-June period from a year earlier, the fastest pace among large economies. Global funds have bought $3.6bn of Indian stocks in the current quarter, the most since the three months ended March 2015 and the highest in Asia after Taiwan and South Korea, as the passage of economic reforms, improvement in public finances and timely monsoon rains after two years of drought lured inflows.
Meanwhile, the rupee turned weaker after two straight days of gains and ended below the psychologically key 67-mark in a nervous trading session today amid uncertainty over the Fed rate-hike action. It lost a modest five paise to settle at 67.01 against the American currency.